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Knock on Wood

Project Info

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Team Name


Superstitio


Team Members


Steven De Costa

Project Description


A Methodological Exploration in Systems Thinking

Our project, "Knock on Wood," presents a novel analytical framework for engaging with complex, systemic challenges. We selected two specific GovHack challenges—"Better Questions for Brighter Futures" and "Digital Confidence"—because their very nature invites a deeper, more structural level of inquiry.

  • "Better Questions for Brighter Futures" is inherently meta-analytical, focused on the process of identifying risk and constructing future success.
  • "Digital Confidence" addresses the systemic and often intangible issue of social trust in complex informational environments.

Both challenges resist simple, tool-based solutions and are ideal candidates for the application of a different analytical lens: the Ground State Configuration (GSC) Model.

The Framework: From Problem-Solving to System Enrichment

The GSC Model, a framework rooted in constructor theory and physics, posits that functional systems operate in a state of coherent indifference—a stable, low-energy persistence. Change is not driven by solving problems, but by decoherence events that compel a system to evolve into a state of higher informational richness.

Our approach is therefore not to "solve" the challenges, but to use the GSC model to analyze their underlying systems. The name "Knock on Wood" is a nod to the intuitive human impulse to engage with the causal fabric of our reality, which this project attempts to model in a structured way.

The Application: A Constructive A Priori-Mortem

We apply this framework through a technique we term the a priori-mortem. Where a traditional premortem identifies risks to prevent failure, our method complements this by identifying opportunities for positive evolution. For each challenge, we:

  1. Defined the current, stable system state ("coherent indifference").
  2. Analyzed how a strategic intervention (a "decoherence event") could elevate the entire system to a more complex, valuable, and resilient state.

Our submission is this analysis, complete with an interactive guide to the GSC model's core concepts. We propose it not as a replacement for empirical methods, but as a vital complement. It provides the necessary doxastic-based exploration—a structured way to examine our underlying beliefs about a system—which in turn can more effectively guide a subsequent epistemic, or evidence-based, inquiry. It is a reasoned demonstration designed to contribute a new and powerful tool to the GovHack community's analytical toolkit.


Evidence of Work

Homepage

Project Image

Team DataSets

International Challenge page for GovHack 2025 - Digital Confidence

Description of Use This challenge was selected for the second premortem, although it was also used in a way that made it both a third ad fourth 'premortem' probe when the analysis itself was additionally put up for review under the GSC Model lens.

Data Set

AXiLE Informatics Link to Mosaic Web Design

Description of Use The "Testing the Mosaic Web Design" material was visually reviewed to understand the the type of project approach was being proposed. This understanding was used as to cross reference the Gen AI review of the challenger's background theories and frameworks, in combination with the known complexities and nature of the global SDGs and the various approaches being taken via Nation states.

Data Set

Challenge Entries

Digital Confidence: Tools for Safe Online Participation

How can communities, governments and organisations enhance digital safety and trust to protect vulnerable populations and enable secure, meaningful engagement with digital platforms and data?

#Navigating-the-digital-seas

Eligibility: Open to all. Your solution will be measured against its relevance to the theme, practicality and scalability, whether it follows ethical and inclusive design, and its innovation. You must use at least one Government dataset.

Go to Challenge | 15 teams have entered this challenge.

Better Questions for Brighter Futures

How might we demonstrate that a powerful new Constructive Modelling Paradigm and Framework for multi-disciplinary discovery can help people solve problems more effectively?

Solving problems before they become problems

Eligibility: Open to everyone. Submissions should use at least one government data source.

Go to Challenge | 5 teams have entered this challenge.