Insolved

Project Info

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Project Description


Problem Statement

Every year more than 30,000 Australians become insolvent, owing creditors more than 7 billion dollars. Insolvency grew 7% in the 2017-18 financial year - double the rate of bankruptcies.

The reasons for insolvency are complex and varied, but impact everyone in our community. Total bankruptcy costs the Australian economy 0.5% GDP per annum.

About 1,000 people per year fail to comply with their insolvency agreements, causing more distress to creditors and costing AFSA millions of dollars.

Introducing INSOLVED

Insolved is an advanced analytics engine to help everyday Australians get back on track.

Using machine learning and predictive modelling, Insolved estimates with 95% accuracy if people within the personal insolvency system are at a high risk of non-compliance (for this project, we define non-compliance as Offence Referral and Objection to Discharge).

With Insolved AFSA can:

Here's how it works:

Dashboard
- An AFSA employee will have a dashboard of all personal insolvency cases.
- Each case shows a risk rating of High Medium or Low, based on our algorithm.
- The case list can be sorted by Risk Rating, ID number or Year and filters can be applied to highlight different cases
- Alternatively, employees can find a specific case by using the ID search

Prediction tool
- To predict whether someone within the personal insolvency system is at risk of non-compliance, all you have to do is fill in a few details.
- Our predictive model will determine whether this person is low, medium or high risk.

Explore
We’ve compared the personal insolvency data to a variety of other datasets looking at health, housing, education and employment across Australia.

We’ve found several interesting trends which can be explored within our Tableau model and are visualised in our product
We found that in the top 10 geographical regions with high rates of insolvency:

... when compared to the national average.

Roadmap

Insolved has the potential to drive down the cost of administration of non-compliance and reduce non-compliant debt.

But we can go further:


Data Story


Our predictive model is unique

Our algorithm solves the class imbalanced or needle in haystack problem as the number of those who are non-compliant is small. We needed to come up with accurate predictions when there was an imbalanced distribution of non-compliance data within a highly skewed dataset.

Novel and creative data insights

We developed ways to correlate insolvency data and show that insolvency affects us all Australians but often affects some of the least fortunate. We did this by combining health, education, economic and housing affordability data. We also developed profiles of male and female insolvents to show insolvency affects average Australians. Check out the models/text document as we were not able to visualise everything. Data preview below

summary


Evidence of Work

Video

Homepage

Team DataSets

Non-compliance in personal insolvencies

Data Set

ABS social economic equality index

Description of Use: Relative advantage and disadvantage of socio-economic circumstances correlated to insolvency

Data Set

Australian Health Tracker

Description of Use: Correlation of insolvency to chronic lifestyle diseases

Data Set

5 years of ABS Regional Data

Description of Use: Correlating health, education, housing affordability and employment to regions of high insolvency

Data Set

Challenges

Bounty: Is seeing truely believing?

Region: Australia

Challenge

To bankruptcy or not to bankruptcy, keeping the process real.

Region: Australia

Challenge

More than apps and maps: help government decide with data

Region: Australia

Challenge

Spatial data challenge

Region: New South Wales

Challenge

Data4Good

Region: New South Wales

Challenge
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